21΅γΛγΕΖΉ«Κ½

Π’ΡŠΠ·ΠΌΠΎΠΆΠ½ΠΎΡΡ‚ΠΈ Π·Π° Ρ‚ΡŠΡ€ΡΠ΅Π½Π΅
Начална страница МСдии Π•Π¦Π‘ обяснява ИзслСдвания ΠΈ ΠΏΡƒΠ±Π»ΠΈΠΊΠ°Ρ†ΠΈΠΈ Бтатистика ΠŸΠ°Ρ€ΠΈΡ‡Π½Π° ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡ‚ΠΈΠΊΠ° Π•Π²Ρ€ΠΎΡ‚ΠΎ ΠŸΠ»Π°Ρ‰Π°Π½ΠΈΡ ΠΈ ΠΏΠ°Π·Π°Ρ€ΠΈ ΠšΠ°Ρ€ΠΈΠ΅Ρ€ΠΈ
ΠŸΡ€Π΅Π΄Π»ΠΎΠΆΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡ
Π‘ΠΎΡ€Ρ‚ΠΈΡ€Π°Π½Π΅ ΠΏΠΎ
Π‘ΡŠΠ΄ΡŠΡ€ΠΆΠ°Π½ΠΈΠ΅Ρ‚ΠΎ Π½Π΅ Π΅ Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΡ‡Π½ΠΎ Π½Π° Π±ΡŠΠ»Π³Π°Ρ€ΡΠΊΠΈ Π΅Π·ΠΈΠΊ.

Flavie Rousseau

1 August 2024
ECONOMIC BULLETIN - BOX
Economic Bulletin Issue 5, 2024
Details
Abstract
Available surveys of selling price expectations of firms for the euro area point to price dynamics that have substantially moderated after the recent large inflationary shock, albeit with a more sluggish adjustment for services than for goods. This box focuses on services and investigates the leading indicator properties of the forward-looking survey data provided by the European Commission. These data tend to anticipate notable turning points in services inflation. In addition, in a forecasting exercise, we find that their leading properties manifest in a non-linear way and are particularly useful in unusual times, such as during the recent inflation spike.
JEL Code
E31 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Price Level, Inflation, Deflation
E37 : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics→Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles→Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
D84 : Microeconomics→Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty→Expectations, Speculations